A Great Shadow of Burden

By John McGory

“It is said that hope is like the sun, which, as we journey toward it, casts the shadow of our burden behind us.” Samuel Smiles

Real estate continues to have a great shadow of burden in front of it as it struggles to recover.  The Real Estate Swami quotes Standard and Poor’s recent report that shows a shadow inventory of four to five million houses in the U.S.  Shadow inventory are homes either owned by the bank or in some stage of foreclosure.

“What holds us back from a robust real estate market are the many houses owned by the banks.  If they were to release them all at once the real estate market would crumble,” says the Real Estate Swami.  “Slowly they will come off the books and our shadow of burden will be behind us.”

The S & P report shows there has been some improvement this year on whittling down the shadow inventory.  A 52-month supply of houses existed in the first quarter of 2011, dropping to 47 months in the second quarter. 

There is much debate on how long our shadow inventory will slow down the real estate market.  The local economies across our nation will determine how quickly these inventories disappear.  Central Ohio is seeing some strength return to its economy.  Housing sales jumped 23 percent in July.

The Real Estate Swami says to keep an eye on new job creation as a sign on where the central Ohio housing market is heading.

“Many home owners want to sell but are waiting on the sidelines for house prices to increase.  Supply will continue to exceed demand so any increase in price will be gradual.   As our local economy adds new jobs our shadow will shrink as we move toward a rising sun.”

The Real Estate Swami is brought to you by Web Face, a Columbus marketing and communications company. http://www.web-face-solutions.com/

Don't get lost in the wilderness of opinions

By John McGory

The events of the past few weeks have shown that the American public is fractured and confused.   Contentious negotiations over the deficit, a credit rating reduction and the corresponding stock market roller coaster ride have made many nervous over the direction of our country.

The Real Estate Swami preaches patience for those who have real estate and are considering selling.  He says that getting caught up in the rhetoric of the day is to be lost in the wilderness of opinions.

The swami points to comments made by Fannie Mae Chief Economist Doug Duncan that the U.S. is probably a little more than halfway through a 10-year adjustment period following housing market peaks in 2005 and 2006.  The value of U.S. housing stock has dropped eight trillion dollars since 2006.

“The long–term structural problems with the real estate economy will take time to correct.  Getting distracted by the wrangling in Washington can cause a confused mind,” says the swami.

Central Ohio average sales prices are down 3.5 percent from a year ago.  That indicates that buyers will continue to have the upper hand, says the swami.  Foreclosures have slowed due to banks moving slowly, which means another wave of foreclosed homes will be coming.

The swami warns not to become too passionate when considering your next real estate move.  He points to the words of the Buddha:  “As rain penetrates an improperly shingled roof, so passion overwhelms a confused mind.”
-------------------------------
The Real Estate Swami is brought to you by Web Face, a Columbus communication and marketing firm, http://www.web-face-solutions.com/